Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.240411 0.272146 0.305949 0.344573 0.387424 0.433443 0.486541
2025-09-07 0.200324 0.243391 0.292087 0.351007 0.420141 0.498445 0.593602
2025-09-14 0.168188 0.217476 0.276188 0.350815 0.442635 0.551371 0.689287
2025-09-21 0.143977 0.196981 0.263148 0.351013 0.463717 0.602434 0.784953
2025-09-28 0.125082 0.180254 0.252141 0.351448 0.483657 0.652024 0.880790
2025-10-05 0.111677 0.168777 0.246132 0.356864 0.509252 0.709249 0.988752
2025-10-12 0.101965 0.160997 0.243867 0.366381 0.540079 0.774241 1.109735
2025-10-19 0.091976 0.151491 0.237946 0.369738 0.561910 0.827563 1.217089
2025-10-26 0.084628 0.144981 0.235468 0.377346 0.589586 0.889717 1.339055
2025-11-02 0.079062 0.140522 0.235424 0.388144 0.622029 0.959685 1.474835
2025-11-09 0.071322 0.131668 0.227705 0.386398 0.635262 1.002096 1.572417
2025-11-16 0.064732 0.123961 0.220993 0.385429 0.649160 1.045597 1.672931
2025-11-23 0.058515 0.116415 0.214163 0.384172 0.663176 1.091002 1.780214
2025-11-30 0.054580 0.112473 0.212939 0.391857 0.691645 1.159644 1.925736
2025-12-07 0.049794 0.106421 0.207524 0.391989 0.707682 1.209527 2.044387
2025-12-14 0.045570 0.100939 0.202571 0.392404 0.723966 1.260269 2.166283
2025-12-21 0.041818 0.095934 0.197987 0.392996 0.740349 1.311632 2.291026
2025-12-28 0.039155 0.092811 0.196568 0.399035 0.766225 1.379381 2.444698
2026-01-04 0.037275 0.091096 0.197625 0.409571 0.800369 1.462092 2.625889
2026-01-11 0.034761 0.087730 0.195169 0.413294 0.822455 1.525308 2.777058
2026-01-18 0.032964 0.085731 0.195220 0.421697 0.853284 1.604487 2.957752
2026-01-25 0.031651 0.084676 0.197061 0.433610 0.891038 1.696958 3.164187
2026-02-01 0.029120 0.080494 0.192082 0.431688 0.902838 1.744491 3.295203